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荷蘭基準(zhǔn)天然氣批發(fā)價(jià)格跌至兩年低點(diǎn)
點(diǎn)擊次數(shù)：587 發(fā)表時(shí)間：2023-6-2
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中國石化新聞網(wǎng)
中國石化新聞網(wǎng)訊 據(jù)天然氣加工新聞網(wǎng)5月26日?qǐng)?bào)道，周五上午，荷蘭未來一個(gè)月的天然氣批發(fā)價(jià)格跌至兩年來的最低水平，這可能會(huì)讓過去一年一直在支付高昂能源賬單的消費(fèi)者和一些企業(yè)松一口氣。
截至格林尼治標(biāo)準(zhǔn)時(shí)間7時(shí)29分，作為歐洲天然氣市場(chǎng)基準(zhǔn)的荷蘭天然氣6月價(jià)格降至每兆瓦時(shí)24.90歐元（27.41美元），為2021年5月27日以來的最低水平。
2022年8月，在歐洲能源危機(jī)和天然氣管道供應(yīng)減少的情況下，該合約價(jià)達(dá)到了約340歐元/兆瓦時(shí)的峰值。
去年，這場(chǎng)危機(jī)導(dǎo)致天然氣和電力價(jià)格飆升，給消費(fèi)者和一些企業(yè)帶來高昂的能源賬單，并導(dǎo)致一些行業(yè)減產(chǎn)。
歐洲天然氣批發(fā)價(jià)格今年一直在下跌，由于冬季天氣溫和，降低天然氣消費(fèi)措施的實(shí)行，以及天然氣儲(chǔ)存水平和供應(yīng)狀況良好。
澳新銀行(ANZ)分析師表示，在氣候溫和、液化天然氣供應(yīng)充足的情況下，歐洲成功避免了嚴(yán)重的天然氣短缺。
他們表示，2022年8月至2023年3月期間，歐洲的天然氣消費(fèi)量比前五年同期的平均水平低17%。
盡管澳新銀行分析師估計(jì)，歐洲將在能源供應(yīng)沒有任何重大中斷的情況下度過下一個(gè)冬天，但他們也發(fā)出了警告。
他們表示，“我們估計(jì)，如果需求不能在目前基礎(chǔ)上再減少15%，德國和整個(gè)地區(qū)明年冬天可能會(huì)出現(xiàn)天然氣短缺”。
據(jù)貿(mào)易商稱，周四有關(guān)歐洲最大經(jīng)濟(jì)體德國經(jīng)濟(jì)陷入衰退的消息，也加劇了天然氣價(jià)格的進(jìn)一步下跌。
能源批發(fā)價(jià)格下跌通常需要幾個(gè)月時(shí)間才能轉(zhuǎn)化為更低的能源賬單。
自年初以來，英國天然氣批發(fā)基準(zhǔn)價(jià)格幾乎下降50%，使該國能源市場(chǎng)監(jiān)管機(jī)構(gòu)Ofgem能夠從7月起將家庭能源賬單上限降低近40%。
然而，大多數(shù)英國家庭的價(jià)格下降幅度將在17%左右，因?yàn)樽?0月份以來，他們一直受到政府限價(jià)的保護(hù)，將能源成本年均保持在2500英鎊(3155美元)，以幫助緩解生活成本的緊縮。
郝芬 譯自 天然氣加工新聞網(wǎng)
原文如下：
Dutch benchmark wholesale gas falls to two-year low
The Dutch wholesale natural gas price for the month ahead fell to a two-year low on Friday morning, which could offer some relief to consumers and some businesses who have been paying high energy bills over the past year.
The Dutch June gas price, a benchmark for the European gas market, fell to 24.90 euros ($27.41) per megawatt hour (MWh) by 0729 GMT, the lowest since May 27, 2021.
The contract reached a peak of around 340 euros/MWh in August 2022 amid the European energy crisis and as Russian gas pipeline supplies dwindled.
The crisis caused gas and power prices to spike last year, burdening consumers and some businesses with very high energy bills and causing some industries to curtail production.
European wholesale gas prices have been falling this year because of a milder-than-normal winter, gas consumption reduction measures and healthy gas storage levels and supplies.
Analysts at ANZ said Europe has managed to escape severe shortages in gas amid mild temperatures and plentiful liquefied natural gas supply.
European gas consumption between August 2022 and March 2023 was 17% lower than the average of the same period over the previous five years, they said.
Although they estimate that Europe will get through another winter without any significant disruptions to energy supply, the ANZ analysts added a note of caution.
"We estimate Germany, and the broader region, could experience gas shortages next winter if demand is not reduced by another 15%," they said.
News on Thursday that Germany's economy, Europe's largest, slipped into recession also added to a further slump in natural gas prices, traders said.
Declines in wholesale energy prices often take a few months to translate into lower retail energy bills.
Benchmark wholesale British gas prices have almost halved since the beginning of the year, enabling the country’s energy market regulator Ofgem to lower its cap on household energy bills by almost 40% from July.
However, the price drop for most British households will be around 17% as they have been protected by a government guarantee since October to keep the average annual cost of energy at 2,500 pounds ($3,155) a year to help with a cost-of-living squeeze.